The Future of Global Poverty

The Future of Global Poverty

WORKING PAPER by Peter Edward, Newcastle University Business School and Andy Sumner, King’s College London.

UNDP (IPC-IG), June 2013

 A set of recent papers has sought to make projections of global poverty into the future. These have significant policy implications because it is only by understanding both the future scale and anticipated locations of poverty that properly informed debates can be had on the scale and objectives of future international aid. In this new one pager and working paper, the authors add to the debate by introducing a long-term model of poverty, inequality and growth.

In sum, Edward and Sumner argue that, despite uncertainties in the modelling, there is evidently benefit in using the available data to attempt to estimate global poverty in the future as long as the approach recognises the uncertainties and the wide range of possible estimates that might be derived from the various different ways of allowing for them.

That way, even if researchers and policy makers have doubts over absolute poverty figures, they should be able to better understand the significance of differences, the overall direction of trends and the robustness of any results that are feeding into policy deliberations. 


CROP News and Events


May 2019

This report presents CROP's activities for the period January-December 2018.

Human Security as a Sine Qua Non for Poverty Reduction and Sustainable Development in Africa

May 2019

CROP POVERTY BRIEF 50: by Ojijo Odhiambo and Fatima Umar (UNDP Nigeria Country Office).

Poverty as Ideology: Rescuing Social Justice from Global Development Agendas

14 May 2019 | Bergen Global

LITERARY SALON: Andrew Fischer, winner of the International Studies in Poverty Prize awarded by CROP and Zed Books.

News from CROPNET

EADI ISS Conference 2020

29 June - 2 July 2020 | The Hague, Netherlands

CALL FOR PANELS: Solidarity, Peace and Social Justice (deadline 6 September)

World Science Forum 2019

20-23 November, 2019 | Budapest, Hungary

CALL FOR PROPOSALS: "Science, Ethics and Responsibility" (deadline 10 April).

Bergen Summer Research School

17-27 June 2019 | University of Bergen

BSRS 2019 offers a series of parallel multidisciplinary working groups with top international lecturers, and cutting-edge keynotes to help you make your research play a role for a sustainable future.